The New Math of Reputation
One of our latest posts focused on the resurrection, both football and reputation-wise, of Michael Vick, the quarterback of the Philadelphia Eagles. In keeping with a sports theme, this past week saw some heated debate about reputation on the baseball diamond and specifically the vote for Felix Hernandez as the American League Cy Young Award winner.
Despite a mediocre 13-12 win-loss record, albeit for the lowly Seattle Mariners in the less classy American League West, Hernandez bested CC Sabathia of the New York Yankees who had 21 wins and David Price of the Tampa Bay Rays with a 19-6 record both of whom do battle in the powerhouse American League East. It used to be that wins and/or strikeouts made a pitcher’s reputation and secured the prestigious and lucrative Cy Young Award but not anymore.
Commentators pointed to how Mr. Hernandez fared despite the low run production of the Mariners, they pointed to his quality starts, and even his impressive record against the strong American League East teams. ESPN, the masters of useless sports statistics, speculated about whether a pitcher with a losing record could win the Cy Young and trotted out something called Wins Above Replacement to analyze deserving pitchers of the past with so-so records.
As new math is rewriting what makes reputations in sports, advanced algorithms are also having an impact on who’s hot and who’s not in the world of social media. This past week at the Web 2.0 Summit, Twitter co-founder Evan Williams was asked how the company determines what users to suggest for the “who to follow” section. Williams stated that Twitter uses a reputation score that the company’s ‘science and math people’ have come up with that delves into a user’s Tweeting activities and interactions. While Williams did not go into specifics of the math involved, he did hint that in time, the reputational number crunching methodology could be made public.
Perhaps sports and social media could be of help in evolving the reputational analytics of corporations and executives. Can corporate social responsibility, sustainability and employee satisfaction come to the fore such as quality starts and wins above replacement have in baseball? Will quarterly earnings and share price go the way of wins? And can Twitter’s ‘science and math’ guys put together an algorithm for determining what companies and corporate leaders to follow?



Consider Toyota, the brand that became synonymous with the word “recall” in recent years. Toyota seems destined to be the poster child for reputation destruction and the subject of cases studies that will be taught for years to come in college PR courses. First, they denied the problems. Then they apologized – well, sort of. And then they apologized some more. They launched campaigns about safety and trotted out customer testimonials.


